Canadian Oil Sands Trust 2006 Annual Report
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Management's Discussion and Analysis

The following Management’s Discussion and Analysis (“MD&A”) was prepared as of February 22, 2007 and should be read in conjunction with the audited consolidated financial statements and notes thereto of Canadian Oil Sands Trust (“Canadian Oil Sands” or the “Trust”) for the years ending December 31, 2006 and December 31, 2005.

ADVISORY - in the interest of providing the Trust’s Unitholders and potential investors with information regarding the Trust, including management’s assessment of the Trust’s future production and cost estimates, plans and operations, certain statements throughout this MD&A contain “forward-looking statements” under applicable securities law. Forward-looking statements in this MD&A include, but are not limited to, statements with respect to: the estimated value and amount of reserves and resources; the expected impact on the Trust from the announced changes to the federal government’s taxation of income trusts, including without limitation, the negative impact on net income, cash from operating activities and Unitholder distributions and on future taxes; the expected increased D&D rate; the energy consumption levels for 2007 and beyond;  the expected increased reliability and other benefits from the Management Services Agreement between Syncrude Canada Ltd. and Imperial Oil Resources; the anticipated timing to reach full production rates from Coker 8-3 and to modify the FGD unit and hydrogen plant; the anticipated costs of the new marketing group being comparable to the fees paid to EnCana Corporation for marketing services; the expected impact that increased supplies of synthetic crude oil will have on the net realized selling price that Canadian Oil Sands receives for its product; the expectation not to enter into crude oil hedges in the future; the expected realized selling price for Canadian Oil Sands’ product as expressed as a differential to WTI; the level of natural gas consumption; the anticipated capital expenditures for 2007 including the amount attributable to the Syncrude Emissions Reduction project; the expected timing to produce SSP; the expected price for crude oil and natural gas in 2007; the expected production, revenues and operating costs for 2007; the net sales proceeds of the disposition of the remainder of Canada Southern Petroleum Ltd.’s conventional assets; the anticipated impact that certain factors such as natural gas and oil prices, foreign exchange and operating costs have on the Trust’s cash from operating activities and net income; and the expected impact of any future environmental legislation or changes to the Crown royalties regime.

You are cautioned not to place undue reliance on forward-looking statements, as there can be no assurance that the plans, intentions or expectations upon which they are based will occur. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve numerous assumptions, known and unknown risks and uncertainties, both general and specific, that contribute to the possibility that the predictions, forecasts, projections and other forward-looking statements will not occur. Although the Trust believes that the expectations represented by such forward-looking statements are reasonable, there can be no assurance that such expectations will prove to be correct. Some of the risks and other factors which could cause results to differ materially from those expressed in the forward-looking statements contained in this MD&A include, but are not limited to: the impact of technology on operations and processes and how new complex technology may not perform as expected; labour shortages and the productivity achieved from labour in the Fort McMurray area; the supply and demand metrics for oil and natural gas; the impact that pipeline capacity and refinery demand have on prices for our products; the variances of stock market activities generally; normal risks associated with litigation; general economic, business and market conditions; regulatory changes; and such other risks and uncertainties described from time to time in the reports and filings made with securities regulatory authorities by the Trust.

You are cautioned that the foregoing list of important factors is not exhaustive. The discussion on proposed tax changes in trust tax legislation is based solely on the general information found in the background paper issued by Finance at the time of the October 31, 2006 announcement (which is not legislation), the guidelines issued by Finance on December 15, 2006, and the draft amendments to the Tax Act released on December 21, 2006. No assurance can be given that the final legislation implementing the 2006 proposed tax changes will be consistent with the foregoing or that Canadian federal income tax law respecting income trusts and other flow-through entities will not be further changed in a manner which adversely affects the Trust and its Unitholders. To the extent that changes, including the 2006 proposed tax changes, are implemented, such changes could result in the income tax considerations described in this MD&A being materially different in certain respects. Furthermore, the forward-looking statements contained in this MD&A are made as of the date of this MD&A, and unless required by law, the Trust does not undertake any obligation to update publicly or to revise any of the included forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. The forward-looking statements contained in this MD&A are expressly qualified by this cautionary statement.

   
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