Canadian Oil Sands Trust 2006 Annual Report
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Management's Discussion and Analysis

Risk Management

Pipeline Transportation and Delivery Infrastructure

All of our Syncrude production is currently transported to Edmonton, Alberta through the Alberta Oil Sands Pipeline Limited (“AOSPL”) system. Disruptions in service on this system could adversely affect our crude oil sales and cash flows. The AOSPL system feeds into various other crude oil pipelines that are used to deliver our SSB product to refinery customers throughout Canada and the U.S. Interruptions in the availability of these pipeline systems may limit the ability to deliver production volumes and could adversely impact sales volumes or the prices received for our product. These interruptions may be caused by the inability of the pipeline to operate, or by capacity constraints if the supply of feedstock into the system exceeds the infrastructure capacity. While we believe long-term take-away capacity will exceed production growth for synthetic supply out of the Athabasca region, there can be no certainty that investments will be made to provide this capacity. There is also no certainty that short-term operational constraints on the pipeline system, arising from pipeline interruptions and/or increased supply of crude oil, will not occur as capacity is believed to be adequate, but tight. In addition, planned or unplanned shutdowns of our refinery customers may limit our ability to deliver our SSB crude oil with a negative implication on revenues and cash from operating activities.

We manage exposure to these risks by allocating deliveries to multiple customers via multiple pipelines, but pipeline choices are limited. We also maintain knowledge of the infrastructure operational issues and expansion proposals through industry organizations in order to assess and respond to delivery risks. In addition, Canadian Oil Sands is investigating the possibility of storage tankage at various locations as a means of dealing with short-term restrictions on pipeline capacity.

   
Syncrude Joint Venture Ownership
 
Environmental Risk